Thursday, March 03, 2011

Merci and Math

Tikboy's lawyer finally admitted why he (the lawyer) took up Law: He hates Math and there is lesser numbers crunching activity in Law. Could this also be the reason why Ombudsman Merciditas Gutierrez had some problems in counting?

In an interview, Gutierrez proudly presented figures comparing the conviction rates between her administration, Simeon Marcelo's, and Aniano Desierto's. Based on her claim, she was able to achieve 53.75% conviction rate while Marcelo has 25.26%, and Desierto has 26.49%.

Well, kung dalawa lang ang nai-file na kaso at ang isa ay may judgement na conviction, ibig sabihin, ang conviction rate ay 50%. Pero kung 10 ang kaso na nai-file at 1 lang ang may conviction, that's a clear 10% conviction rate. Ibig sabihin, hindi dapat porsyento o rates ang pagbasehan kundi absolute count. Ilan nga ba talaga ang nai-file at naipanalo niyang kaso?

Eto ang sagot sagot ng Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism:

Gutierrez’s number is an illusory picture of good results, however. A closer review of the 223 cases she steered to conviction shows that almost all – 221 cases to be exact – were filed against just one official, the mayor of Nakar, Quezon province. The two other cases involved a municipal mayor of Iloilo, and a city mayor of Nueva Ecija.
This is where her score turns most sour: by number of actual persons convicted of corruption, the Sandiganbayan database shows that Gutierrez, in four years, has managed to secure the conviction of less than one senior official per year. 
In contrast, her three predecessors scored much better in terms of the number of cases they filed during their terms, and the actual number of persons meted out convictions under their watch – 16, 36, and 62 officials per year on average, respectively, for Marcelo, Desierto, and Vasquez.

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